Happy Valley · 2023-07-12 · 22:58
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-07-12 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TELECOM FIGHTERS, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1/2, with GALAXY WITNESS second and WINNING DRAGON third. The winner led throughout. The 4.5 favourite GALAXY WITNESS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Wire to wire 1.39.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 1 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 4.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | WINNING DRAGON H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | NIMBLE NIMBUS V/TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 3 | 6.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly CP/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 7 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SON PAK FU BO C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 11 | 7.6 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | SAVAQUIN Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 7.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 6 | 98.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | HANDSOME TWELVE H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 8 | 61.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | PACKING AWARD K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 5 | 5.3 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | PRIME MINISTER K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 22.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 0 | A PAL M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SAVAQUIN | 14.2% | 7.05 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | SON PAK FU | 12.6% | 7.93 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | GALAXY WITNESS | 11.0% | 9.06 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | BUTTERFIELD | 10.6% | 9.46 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | WINNING DRAGON | 10.4% | 9.61 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | PRIME MINISTER | 9.9% | 10.10 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 9.4% | 10.68 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | PACKING AWARD | 6.4% | 15.70 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 6.3% | 15.93 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 4.7% | 21.10 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 2.6% | 37.75 | 1 |
| 12 | 12 | GRATEFUL HEART | 1.9% | 52.85 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 152.5
PLACE
3 44
8 17.5
11 27.5
QUINELLA
3,8 525.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 168
3,11 211.5
8,11 74.5
FORECAST
3,8 1,222
TIERCE
3,8,11 11,561
TRIO
3,8,11 1,277
FIRST 4
3,6,8,11 1,495
QUARTET
3,8,11,6 52,838
All pools (5 more)
2ND TREBLE
5/2/3 804
5/2/8 49
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 25.5
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,3/3,8,11 33,559
8TH DOUBLE
2/3 332.5
2/8 21.5
SIX UP
2,3,5,7/4,9/2,8/2,5/1,2/3,8 1,612
3,5,7/9/8/5/2/3 46,645
1 [Z Purton] —
3 [C Fownes] —