Happy Valley · 2023-07-12 · 20:46
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CONCERTO Wire to wire XB/TT 1.40.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 10 | 7.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SNOWALOT Closed strongly B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 6.1 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GOLD TACK CP A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 1 | 2.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RUNNING AHEAD TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 62.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE B/H L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 4.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION Closed strongly SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 11 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 5 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | CHARMANDER B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 7 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 6 | 37.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | VILLA FIONN B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 9 | 22.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | STORMTROUPER XB K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 12 | 48.0 | 16 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-07-12 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CONCERTO, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K H Ting, won by 1, with SNOWALOT second and GOLD TACK third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite GOLD TACK finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SNOWALOT | 22.2% | 4.50 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLD TACK | 19.7% | 5.08 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 9.8% | 10.20 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 9.0% | 11.14 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | CONCERTO | 8.7% | 11.52 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | CHARMANDER | 6.6% | 15.09 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 5.0% | 20.19 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | RUNNING AHEAD | 4.5% | 22.43 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION | 4.2% | 23.93 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | STORMTROUPER | 4.1% | 24.41 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 3.3% | 29.86 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 2.9% | 33.96 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 79
PLACE
4 21
6 14
9 25.5
QUINELLA
4,9 318
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 44
4,9 106
6,9 63
FORECAST
9,4 575
TIERCE
9,4,6 1,806
TRIO
4,6,9 265
FIRST 4
4,6,9,10 488
QUARTET
9,4,6,10 13,258
All pools (4 more)
1ST TREBLE
5/3,5,7/4 72
5/3,5,7/9 420
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4>3,5,7/4,6,9 6,108
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 26
4TH DOUBLE
3,5,7/4 22
3,5,7/9 106