跑馬地 · 2023-07-12 · 20:46
第 5場
2023-07-12跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Ferraris策騎、K H Ting訓練的CONCERTO勝出，贏出1。SNOWALOT獲得亞軍；GOLD TACK獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.8倍大熱門GOLD TACK跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CONCERTO 一路領先 XB/TT 1.40.33 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 10 | 7.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SNOWALOT 後段發力 B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 6.1 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | GOLD TACK CP A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 1 | 2.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | RUNNING AHEAD TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 62.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | CORDYCEPS ONE B/H L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 4.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | BEAUTY MISSION 後段發力 SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 11 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | TURQUOISE ALPHA 後段發力 CP/XB Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 5 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | CHARMANDER B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 7 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 6 | 37.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | VILLA FIONN B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 9 | 22.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | STORMTROUPER XB K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 12 | 48.0 | 16 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SNOWALOT | 22.2% | 4.50 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | GOLD TACK | 19.7% | 5.08 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 9.8% | 10.20 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 9.0% | 11.14 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | CONCERTO | 8.7% | 11.52 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | CHARMANDER | 6.6% | 15.09 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 5.0% | 20.19 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | RUNNING AHEAD | 4.5% | 22.43 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | BEAUTY MISSION | 4.2% | 23.93 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | STORMTROUPER | 4.1% | 24.41 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 3.3% | 29.86 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | VILLA FIONN | 2.9% | 33.96 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 79
PLACE
4 21
6 14
9 25.5
QUINELLA
4,9 318
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 44
4,9 106
6,9 63
FORECAST
9,4 575
TIERCE
9,4,6 1,806
TRIO
4,6,9 265
FIRST 4
4,6,9,10 488
QUARTET
9,4,6,10 13,258
全部彩池（另 4 項）
1ST TREBLE
5/3,5,7/4 72
5/3,5,7/9 420
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4>3,5,7/4,6,9 6,108
3 PICK 1
A2 26
A1 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
3,5,7/4 22
3,5,7/9 106