跑馬地 · 2023-07-12 · 22:23
第 8場
2023-07-12跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、J Richards訓練的SEASONS WIT勝出，贏出SH。EXPLOSIVE WITNESS獲得亞軍；HARMONY N BLESSED獲得季軍。頭馬以1.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SEASONS WIT B/TT 0.56.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 6 | 1.9 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS SR/XB H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 4 | 43.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 3 | 3.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | LUCKY GOLD B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 20.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | E UNIVERSE TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 12 | 52.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | HUMBLE STAR SR/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 10 | 32.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY TYCOON H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 11 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | EQUALETTA BLITZ H-/B B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 8 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | PARTY WARRIOR H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | NORTHERN BEACHES M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER VINCE XB/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 59.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | WINNING HEART B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 1 | 117.0 | 40 |
| — | 0 | AMAZING ROCKY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SEASONS WIT | 37.2% | 2.69 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | PARTY WARRIOR | 13.7% | 7.32 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 10.0% | 10.05 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | LUCKY GOLD | 8.9% | 11.24 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 7.3% | 13.65 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER VINCE | 7.1% | 14.04 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY TYCOON | 4.6% | 21.64 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | HUMBLE STAR | 3.7% | 27.36 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 2.4% | 40.92 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | E UNIVERSE | 2.2% | 45.93 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 1.9% | 51.41 | 2 |
| 12 | 12 | WINNING HEART | 1.0% | 102.37 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 19
PLACE
1 59.5
2 11
3 13.5
QUINELLA
1,2 283.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 101
1,3 121
2,3 16.5
FORECAST
2,1 361
TIERCE
2,1,3 1,226
TRIO
1,2,3 271
FIRST 4
1,2,3,9 738
QUARTET
2,1,3,9 12,547
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 12.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/1 169.5
5/2 35.5