沙田 · 2023-11-19 · 04:35
第 1場
2023-11-19沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Avdulla策騎、D J Hall訓練的STAR CLUB勝出，贏出3/4。DOUBLE WIN獲得亞軍；SUPER HIGHWAY獲得季軍。1.8倍大熱門ROMANTIC HERO跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | STAR CLUB 1.09.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 3 | 7.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | DOUBLE WIN XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 62.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 2 | 9.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | PATCH OF TIME TT1 Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 4 | 8.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | COMPASSION SUPER XB/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 45.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | ROMANTIC HERO XB1/TT1 K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 1 | 1.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | PARTY WARRIOR L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | PROUD DRAGON V-/B2/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | THE GOOD DEAL SR/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 12 | 32.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | HAPPY MISSION XB-/P1/H2/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 13 | 43.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | ENNEA FORTUNE H-/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 9 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | SMART LEADER B/XB/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 5 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | SUNNY SHINES A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 14 | 126.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | BEAUTY UNITY TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 11 | 220.0 | 16-1/4 |
| — | 0 | PRIDE OF EIGHT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PATCH OF TIME | 26.2% | 3.82 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | ROMANTIC HERO | 15.7% | 6.38 | 6 |
| 3 | 14 | SMART LEADER | 9.8% | 10.17 | 12 |
| 4 | 12 | PROUD DRAGON | 7.9% | 12.59 | 8 |
| 5 | 13 | THE GOOD DEAL | 6.8% | 14.81 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 5.6% | 17.93 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | PARTY WARRIOR | 4.8% | 20.74 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | STAR CLUB | 4.6% | 21.65 | 1 |
| 9 | 2 | HAPPY MISSION | 4.3% | 23.25 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | ENNEA FORTUNE | 4.1% | 24.65 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | SUNNY SHINES | 3.5% | 28.83 | 13 |
| 12 | 6 | DOUBLE WIN | 3.1% | 31.96 | 2 |
| 13 | 5 | COMPASSION SUPER | 3.1% | 32.23 | 5 |
| 14 | 11 | BEAUTY UNITY | 0.6% | 179.03 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 78.5
PLACE
1 21
6 115
10 20.5
QUINELLA
6,10 1,784.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 604
1,10 87.5
6,10 434
FORECAST
10,6 2,712
TIERCE
10,6,1 37,843
TRIO
1,6,10 5,527
FIRST 4
1,6,7,10 6,506
QUARTET
10,6,1,7 181,258