沙田 · 2023-11-19 · 05:40
第 3場
2023-11-19沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的RAGING BLIZZARD勝出，贏出1/2。STRATHPEFFER獲得亞軍；GORGEOUS WIN獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RAGING BLIZZARD 1.08.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 2.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER B K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 3 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | GORGEOUS WIN TT1 K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 10 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | PRINCE CHISWICK XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 6 | 5.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | FIGHTING MACHINE A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 7 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | CHARMANDER B/TT M F Poon · J Richards | M F Poon | J Richards | 8 | 73.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | DEVAS TWELVE TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 88.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | AWESOME TREASURE B2/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | COMMANDING MISSILE B/H C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 4 | 17.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 2 | 19.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | DIVINE SHINING BO/H/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 12 | 178.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI TT2 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 1 | 132.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS V E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 14 | 16.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | JOYFUL SUPREME M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 13 | 184.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 20.5% | 4.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | GORGEOUS WIN | 15.7% | 6.38 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | PRINCE CHISWICK | 11.0% | 9.12 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | AWESOME TREASURE | 8.6% | 11.65 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 8.4% | 11.90 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 8.0% | 12.54 | 13 |
| 7 | 10 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 6.4% | 15.59 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER | 6.3% | 15.95 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 5.5% | 18.30 | 10 |
| 10 | 13 | CHARMANDER | 3.6% | 27.70 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | JOYFUL SUPREME | 2.2% | 45.32 | 14 |
| 12 | 6 | DEVAS TWELVE | 2.1% | 47.97 | 7 |
| 13 | 3 | DIVINE SHINING | 1.1% | 93.71 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI | 0.7% | 133.75 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 24.5
PLACE
4 13
8 20
12 35
QUINELLA
4,12 206.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 36.5
4,12 69.5
8,12 103.5
FORECAST
4,12 298
TIERCE
4,12,8 1,543
TRIO
4,8,12 359
FIRST 4
4,8,11,12 254
QUARTET
4,12,8,11 4,398
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/4,8,12 12,077
2ND DOUBLE
4/4 58
4/12 72