沙田 · 2023-11-19 · 09:20
第 10場
2023-11-19沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、P C Ng訓練的GALAXY PATCH勝出，贏出1-3/4。THE HEIR獲得亞軍；NORTHERN BEACHES獲得季軍。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GALAXY PATCH B 1.08.65 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 10 | 3.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | THE HEIR C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | NORTHERN BEACHES Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 7 | 3.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | SOLID IMPACT B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 2 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | CELESTIAL COLOURS B1/TT1 L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 8 | 8.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 4 | 8.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | CALL ME DANDY CP/XB M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 8.5 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | WINNER METHOD B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 13 | 53.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | MONTA FRUTTA H1/TT1 M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | STAR MAC K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 14 | 112.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 9 | 166.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | RAGNARR TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 5 | 49.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 11 | 19.0 | 18-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GALAXY PATCH | 14.0% | 7.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 11.2% | 8.91 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | PINS PRINCE | 11.0% | 9.07 | 7 |
| 4 | 12 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 10.4% | 9.57 | 14 |
| 5 | 6 | THE HEIR | 10.1% | 9.93 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | WINNER METHOD | 6.0% | 16.64 | 9 |
| 7 | 13 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 5.7% | 17.52 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | MONTA FRUTTA | 5.4% | 18.59 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | CALL ME DANDY | 4.8% | 20.66 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | CELESTIAL COLOURS | 4.5% | 22.47 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 4.4% | 22.75 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | STAR MAC | 4.3% | 23.41 | 11 |
| 13 | 9 | RAGNARR | 4.2% | 23.93 | 13 |
| 14 | 3 | SOLID IMPACT | 4.0% | 25.25 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 35.5
PLACE
4 17
6 52.5
8 15.5
QUINELLA
4,6 356
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 126
4,8 30
6,8 111
FORECAST
4,6 619
TIERCE
4,6,8 2,023
TRIO
4,6,8 258
FIRST 4
3,4,6,8 1,024
QUARTET
4,6,8,3 17,934
全部彩池（另 1 項）
9TH DOUBLE
6/4 166
6/6 89