Sha Tin · 2023-11-19 · 05:40
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-19 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. RAGING BLIZZARD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with STRATHPEFFER second and GORGEOUS WIN third. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RAGING BLIZZARD 1.08.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 2.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER B K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 3 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | GORGEOUS WIN TT1 K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 10 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | PRINCE CHISWICK XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 6 | 5.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | FIGHTING MACHINE A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 7 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | CHARMANDER B/TT M F Poon · J Richards | M F Poon | J Richards | 8 | 73.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | DEVAS TWELVE TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 88.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | AWESOME TREASURE B2/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | COMMANDING MISSILE B/H C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 4 | 17.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 2 | 19.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | DIVINE SHINING BO/H/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 12 | 178.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI TT2 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 1 | 132.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS V E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 14 | 16.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | JOYFUL SUPREME M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 13 | 184.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 20.5% | 4.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | GORGEOUS WIN | 15.7% | 6.38 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | PRINCE CHISWICK | 11.0% | 9.12 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | AWESOME TREASURE | 8.6% | 11.65 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 8.4% | 11.90 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 8.0% | 12.54 | 13 |
| 7 | 10 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 6.4% | 15.59 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER | 6.3% | 15.95 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 5.5% | 18.30 | 10 |
| 10 | 13 | CHARMANDER | 3.6% | 27.70 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | JOYFUL SUPREME | 2.2% | 45.32 | 14 |
| 12 | 6 | DEVAS TWELVE | 2.1% | 47.97 | 7 |
| 13 | 3 | DIVINE SHINING | 1.1% | 93.71 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI | 0.7% | 133.75 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 24.5
PLACE
4 13
8 20
12 35
QUINELLA
4,12 206.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 36.5
4,12 69.5
8,12 103.5
FORECAST
4,12 298
TIERCE
4,12,8 1,543
TRIO
4,8,12 359
FIRST 4
4,8,11,12 254
QUARTET
4,12,8,11 4,398
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/4,8,12 12,077
2ND DOUBLE
4/4 58
4/12 72