Sha Tin · 2023-11-19 · 16:43
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly 2.01.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SWORD POINT CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 2.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER Led early K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 7.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS V/TT K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 1 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SENOR TOBA TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 2 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR SR M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 9 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 23.0 | 9-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-19 was Group 2 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. STRAIGHT ARRON, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with SWORD POINT second and MONEY CATCHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite SWORD POINT finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SWORD POINT | 45.6% | 2.19 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 9.6% | 10.43 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER | 8.8% | 11.32 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 7.9% | 12.70 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH | 7.9% | 12.74 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 7.3% | 13.69 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON | 5.5% | 18.04 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | SENOR TOBA | 4.3% | 23.51 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 3.2% | 31.56 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 57
PLACE
3 20.5
6 19.5
7 12.5
QUINELLA
6,7 69
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 69
3,7 40.5
6,7 30.5
FORECAST
6,7 179
TIERCE
6,7,3 1,034
TRIO
3,6,7 161
FIRST 4
3,6,7,9 323
QUARTET
6,7,3,9 5,970
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,5/3,6,7 2,782
8TH DOUBLE
5/6 106.5
5/7 12.5