Sha Tin · 2023-11-19 · 15:01
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ENSUED Closed strongly 2.00.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 4.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | PACKING HURRICANE Closed strongly CP1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 16.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SWAN BAY B L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 2 | 6.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | C P BRAVE V M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER B K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 4 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 42.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TURIN MASCOT SR/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 7 | 8.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET Closed strongly H/PC/XB A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 10 | 4.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FRANTANCK Led early M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 1 | 8.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DEVILDOM L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 5 | 35.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 13 | 55.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CALIFORNIA VOCE TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER B L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 6 | 28.0 | 5 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-19 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ENSUED, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by N, with PACKING HURRICANE second and SWAN BAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite BILLIONAIRE SECRET finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURIN MASCOT | 23.9% | 4.19 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | ENSUED | 13.4% | 7.48 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 12.3% | 8.10 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER | 8.3% | 12.07 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | SWAN BAY | 7.6% | 13.12 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | PACKING HURRICANE | 6.1% | 16.28 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | CALIFORNIA VOCE | 6.1% | 16.52 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | FRANTANCK | 5.2% | 19.14 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | NATURAL STORM | 5.0% | 19.94 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | C P BRAVE | 4.9% | 20.24 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 2.7% | 36.77 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 2.4% | 42.27 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | DEVILDOM | 2.0% | 49.70 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 48.5
PLACE
6 42.5
7 21.5
8 20
QUINELLA
6,7 388.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 134
6,8 137.5
7,8 62
FORECAST
7,6 512
TIERCE
7,6,8 2,163
TRIO
6,7,8 426
FIRST 4
6,7,8,10 1,876
QUARTET
7,6,8,10 30,791
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
3/6 136
3/7 295