Sha Tin · 2023-11-19 · 14:01
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HELIOS EXPRESS 1.08.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 3.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | PACKING TREADMILL SR L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 2 | 21.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | FLYING ACE B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 5.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 7 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 2.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 9.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BUNDLE OF CHARM A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WE ARE HERO V/TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 3 | 89.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | DREAM WINNER C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 8 | 6.9 | 7-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-19 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HELIOS EXPRESS, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by N, with PACKING TREADMILL second and FLYING ACE third. The 2.9 favourite LUCKY ENCOUNTER finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER | 29.6% | 3.38 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 18.9% | 5.28 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | FLYING ACE | 14.2% | 7.02 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | DREAM WINNER | 13.3% | 7.55 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | PACKING TREADMILL | 8.3% | 12.03 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 5.8% | 17.15 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 4.6% | 21.67 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 3.8% | 26.46 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | WE ARE HERO | 1.4% | 69.38 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 39
PLACE
1 49.5
2 17.5
8 16.5
QUINELLA
1,8 401.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 134.5
1,8 110.5
2,8 46
FORECAST
8,1 596
TIERCE
8,1,2 5,191
TRIO
1,2,8 679
FIRST 4
1,2,3,8 1,403
QUARTET
8,1,2,3 27,329
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
4/1 115
4/8 69