Sha Tin · 2023-11-19 · 13:01
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT 1.49.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly B/XB B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 6 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT CP-/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 5 | 42.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 9.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD CP/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | NEARLY FINE B-/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 8 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN P-/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 9 | 3.1 | 3 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-19 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CHAMPION DRAGON, ridden by A Badel and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with TOURBILLON DIAMOND second and ALL FOR ST PAUL'S third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN | 25.3% | 3.96 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 21.1% | 4.74 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 19.3% | 5.17 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 9.3% | 10.76 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 7.7% | 13.07 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | NEARLY FINE | 5.4% | 18.48 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 4.6% | 21.54 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE | 4.5% | 22.23 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 2.8% | 35.75 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 25
PLACE
1 31
3 31
4 13
QUINELLA
1,4 204
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 147.5
1,4 66.5
3,4 66.5
FORECAST
4,1 296
TIERCE
4,1,3 1,409
TRIO
1,3,4 434
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 718
QUARTET
4,1,3,2 8,926
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/1 119.5
10/4 219