Sha Tin · 2023-11-19 · 16:07
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly 1.33.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 2.5 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 2 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | VOYAGE BUBBLE CP A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 3 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Led early TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 1.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 1 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-19 was Group 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BEAUTY ETERNAL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by SH, with BEAUTY JOY second and VOYAGE BUBBLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.7 favourite CALIFORNIA SPANGLE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 58.8% | 1.70 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 21.5% | 4.65 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 9.3% | 10.74 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 6.7% | 15.03 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY | 3.7% | 26.95 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 25.5
PLACE
2 32
5 14
QUINELLA
2,5 89.5
FORECAST
5,2 162
TIERCE
5,2,4 587
TRIO
2,4,5 133
7TH DOUBLE
1/2 50
1/5 34