沙田 · 2023-12-26 · 08:40
第 8場
2023-12-26沙田第8場,Class 3,途程1200米,跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、J Size訓練的RAGING BLIZZARD勝出,贏出SH。GORGEOUS WIN獲得亞軍;LADY'S CHOICE獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門GORGEOUS WIN跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | RAGING BLIZZARD 1.08.83 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 2.6 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | GORGEOUS WIN TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 2.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | LADY'S CHOICE H/V J McDonald · C W Chang | J McDonald | C W Chang | 10 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | KA YING CHEER B A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 7.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 11 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | FOREVER CHARM L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 4 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | ONLY U TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 69.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | AMAZING RUN CP/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 7 | 32.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY H1 A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 186.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | NOT A FEW SR1/XB1 K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 6 | 127.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | GOLD GOLD BABY TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 39.0 | 11-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GORGEOUS WIN | 39.1% | 2.56 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 23.6% | 4.24 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | KA YING CHEER | 11.0% | 9.10 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | LADY'S CHOICE | 7.0% | 14.29 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 6.3% | 15.79 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 3.6% | 27.51 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | FOREVER CHARM | 2.9% | 34.59 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | AMAZING RUN | 2.1% | 47.31 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | NOT A FEW | 1.9% | 53.08 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | ONLY U | 1.8% | 54.61 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 0.6% | 154.08 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 26.5
PLACE
2 27.5
9 10.5
10 10.5
QUINELLA
9,10 28.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 42
2,10 38
9,10 14
FORECAST
10,9 50
TIERCE
10,9,2 211
TRIO
2,9,10 65
FIRST 4
2,9,10,11 50
QUARTET
10,9,2,11 573
全部彩池(另 2 項)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,11,14/2,9,10 842,990
7TH DOUBLE
2/9 540.5
2/10 2,981.5