沙田 · 2023-12-26 · 09:15
第 9場
2023-12-26沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、W Y So訓練的NORTHERN BEACHES勝出，贏出3/4。CALIFORNIA TOUCH獲得亞軍；HEROIC MASTER獲得季軍。頭馬以3.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | NORTHERN BEACHES 0.56.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 12 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH H/TT C Y Ho · W K Mo | C Y Ho | W K Mo | 6 | 51.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | HEROIC MASTER CP/TT J McDonald · F C Lor | J McDonald | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | METRO WARRIOR B K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | CHEVAL VALIANT B-/H-/SR1/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 11 | 6.3 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | JOLLY COMPANION XB M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 2 | 67.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | MUST GO A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 13 | 29.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 3 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | KYEEMA Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 5 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | SOLAR UP B1 M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 10 | 46.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY GOR E/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 14 | 6.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 9 | KA YING POWER H/B1/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 43.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | PACKING BOLE TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 5.5 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HEROIC MASTER | 16.9% | 5.90 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | PACKING BOLE | 15.2% | 6.59 | 14 |
| 3 | 5 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 13.9% | 7.20 | 12 |
| 4 | 10 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 10.7% | 9.32 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | KYEEMA | 9.7% | 10.28 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 8.6% | 11.67 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 8.4% | 11.95 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY GOR | 7.3% | 13.73 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | SOLAR UP | 2.2% | 44.92 | 10 |
| 10 | 13 | METRO WARRIOR | 2.1% | 47.39 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | MUST GO | 1.7% | 57.32 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | JOLLY COMPANION | 1.7% | 60.56 | 6 |
| 13 | 9 | KA YING POWER | 0.9% | 112.70 | 13 |
| 14 | 7 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH | 0.7% | 138.72 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 37
PLACE
2 35
7 133.5
10 18
QUINELLA
7,10 1,067
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 798
2,10 97.5
7,10 335.5
FORECAST
10,7 2,078
TIERCE
10,7,2 24,180
TRIO
2,7,10 4,732
FIRST 4
2,7,10,13 14,518
QUARTET
10,7,2,13 315,189
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
10/7 185.5
10/10 101.5