沙田 · 2023-12-26 · 09:50
第 10場
2023-12-26沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、K W Lui訓練的CHANCHENG GLORY勝出，贏出3/4。FLAMINGO TRILLION獲得亞軍；SIMPLE HEDGE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHANCHENG GLORY 後段發力 B/XB 1.34.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | FLAMINGO TRILLION 後段發力 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 8.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SIMPLE HEDGE 後段發力 B1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 6.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR 後段發力 B1/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | BEER PALACE 後段發力 B1 K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 3 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | POWERFUL WINGS 後段發力 B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET H/PC/XB C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 1 | 6.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | JUMBO FORTUNE 後段發力 PC/XB A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 6 | 7.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | HAKKA RADIANCE 後段發力 H1/TT1 J McDonald · W K Mo | J McDonald | W K Mo | 4 | 47.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | ACCOLADE START TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 12 | 39.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | RED MAJESTY 早段領放 B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 83.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | LET'S DO IT 後段發力 CP K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 13 | 28.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | I KEEP WINNING L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 8 | 110.0 | 17 |
| 14 | 13 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 10 | 23.0 | 38-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 21.7% | 4.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 18.5% | 5.41 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 12.2% | 8.18 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 11.6% | 8.65 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 6.6% | 15.18 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 5.8% | 17.26 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | POWERFUL WINGS | 4.8% | 20.68 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 4.3% | 23.39 | 2 |
| 9 | 10 | LET'S DO IT | 3.6% | 27.62 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | I KEEP WINNING | 2.8% | 36.04 | 13 |
| 11 | 12 | BEER PALACE | 2.6% | 38.50 | 5 |
| 12 | 13 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 2.4% | 40.84 | 14 |
| 13 | 3 | ACCOLADE START | 1.6% | 62.01 | 10 |
| 14 | 14 | RED MAJESTY | 1.5% | 65.49 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 34
PLACE
2 25.5
4 16.5
11 29
QUINELLA
4,11 215.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 55
2,11 110.5
4,11 81
FORECAST
4,11 348
TIERCE
4,11,2 3,034
TRIO
2,4,11 506
FIRST 4
1,2,4,11 1,581
QUARTET
4,11,2,1 29,622
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
10/10/4 471
10/10/11 520
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,10/2,4,11 193,248
9TH DOUBLE
10/4 167.5
10/11 170.5
SIX UP
6,8/6,10/2,11/9,10/7,10/4,11 42,383
1 [K W Lui] —
7 [L Hewitson] —