Sha Tin · 2023-12-26 · 17:48
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHANCHENG GLORY Closed strongly B/XB 1.34.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | FLAMINGO TRILLION Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 8.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly B1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 6.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR Closed strongly B1/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BEER PALACE Closed strongly B1 K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 3 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET H/PC/XB C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 1 | 6.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly PC/XB A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 6 | 7.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HAKKA RADIANCE Closed strongly H1/TT1 J McDonald · W K Mo | J McDonald | W K Mo | 4 | 47.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ACCOLADE START TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 12 | 39.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | RED MAJESTY Led early B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 83.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LET'S DO IT Closed strongly CP K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 13 | 28.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | I KEEP WINNING L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 8 | 110.0 | 17 |
| 14 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 10 | 23.0 | 38-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-26 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHANCHENG GLORY, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with FLAMINGO TRILLION second and SIMPLE HEDGE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 21.7% | 4.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 18.5% | 5.41 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 12.2% | 8.18 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 11.6% | 8.65 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 6.6% | 15.18 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 5.8% | 17.26 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | POWERFUL WINGS | 4.8% | 20.68 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 4.3% | 23.39 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | LET'S DO IT | 3.6% | 27.62 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | I KEEP WINNING | 2.8% | 36.04 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | BEER PALACE | 2.6% | 38.50 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 2.4% | 40.84 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | ACCOLADE START | 1.6% | 62.01 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 1.5% | 65.49 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 34
PLACE
2 25.5
4 16.5
11 29
QUINELLA
4,11 215.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 55
2,11 110.5
4,11 81
FORECAST
4,11 348
TIERCE
4,11,2 3,034
TRIO
2,4,11 506
FIRST 4
1,2,4,11 1,581
QUARTET
4,11,2,1 29,622
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
10/10/4 471
10/10/11 520
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,10/2,4,11 193,248
9TH DOUBLE
10/4 167.5
10/11 170.5
SIX UP
6,8/6,10/2,11/9,10/7,10/4,11 42,383
1 [K W Lui] —
7 [L Hewitson] —