Sha Tin · 2023-12-26 · 05:05
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-26 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. MIRACLES, ridden by J McDonald and trained by K L Man, won by 3-1/2, with SUPER JOY second and PRESTIGE MOOCHI third. The 4.6 favourite DAY DAY RICH finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MIRACLES B 1.09.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · K L Man | J McDonald | K L Man | 11 | 4.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER JOY B/XB/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 4.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 8 | 49.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY TANGO B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 7.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | RATTAN WORLD B-/PC1/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 5 | 5.8 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 9 | 37.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B-/PC2/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 10 | 12.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | SUPER HORNET B-/XB/PC1/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 7 | 72.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | MAGIC TRAVELLER B1/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 12 | 82.0 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | DIAMOND FOREVER B1/TT1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 16.0 | 18 |
| 11 | 10 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 4.6 | 19-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | CALL ME TEDDY SR1/B2/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 6 | 14.0 | 22 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RATTAN WORLD | 25.1% | 3.98 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | HAPPY TANGO | 12.8% | 7.78 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | SUPER JOY | 11.4% | 8.77 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | MIRACLES | 9.4% | 10.65 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 7.8% | 12.77 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | DIAMOND FOREVER | 7.5% | 13.25 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | DAY DAY RICH | 7.3% | 13.64 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | GOODMANSHIP | 5.8% | 17.26 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER HORNET | 4.3% | 23.06 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | CALL ME TEDDY | 3.6% | 27.79 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | MAGIC TRAVELLER | 2.7% | 37.08 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI | 2.1% | 47.80 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 49.5
PLACE
2 112.5
7 22.5
11 20
QUINELLA
7,11 179
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 490
2,11 312
7,11 71.5
FORECAST
7,11 370
TIERCE
7,11,2 12,390
TRIO
2,7,11 1,685
FIRST 4
2,6,7,11 2,494
QUARTET
7,11,2,6 78,072