Sha Tin · 2023-12-26 · 08:40
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-26 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. RAGING BLIZZARD, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by SH, with GORGEOUS WIN second and LADY'S CHOICE third. The 2.0 favourite GORGEOUS WIN finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | RAGING BLIZZARD 1.08.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 2.6 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | GORGEOUS WIN TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 2.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | LADY'S CHOICE H/V J McDonald · C W Chang | J McDonald | C W Chang | 10 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | KA YING CHEER B A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 7.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 11 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | FOREVER CHARM L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 4 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | ONLY U TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 69.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | AMAZING RUN CP/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 7 | 32.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY H1 A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 186.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | NOT A FEW SR1/XB1 K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 6 | 127.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | GOLD GOLD BABY TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 39.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GORGEOUS WIN | 39.1% | 2.56 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 23.6% | 4.24 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | KA YING CHEER | 11.0% | 9.10 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | LADY'S CHOICE | 7.0% | 14.29 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 6.3% | 15.79 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 3.6% | 27.51 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | FOREVER CHARM | 2.9% | 34.59 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | AMAZING RUN | 2.1% | 47.31 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | NOT A FEW | 1.9% | 53.08 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | ONLY U | 1.8% | 54.61 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 0.6% | 154.08 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 26.5
PLACE
2 27.5
9 10.5
10 10.5
QUINELLA
9,10 28.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 42
2,10 38
9,10 14
FORECAST
10,9 50
TIERCE
10,9,2 211
TRIO
2,9,10 65
FIRST 4
2,9,10,11 50
QUARTET
10,9,2,11 573
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,11,14/2,9,10 842,990
7TH DOUBLE
2/9 540.5
2/10 2,981.5