Sha Tin · 2023-12-26 · 06:35
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-26 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. FUN ELITE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/2, with BABY CRYSTAL second and LIFELINE EXPRESS third. The 3.1 favourite BABY CRYSTAL finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FUN ELITE TT1 0.56.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | BABY CRYSTAL B1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 3.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | LIFELINE EXPRESS A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 57.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 7 | 40.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | FLYING DRAGON XB K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 3 | 9.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | ACE TALENT PC-/H/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 10 | 37.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER TT1 J McDonald · J Richards | J McDonald | J Richards | 6 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | PERFECTO MOMENTS TT1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 9 | 21.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | MR GOOD VIBES A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 38.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | GREENWICH V-/PC1/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 11 | 3.6 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | CRAZY TREASURE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | WINNING GOLD H1/TT1 K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 14 | 125.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | PRINCE CHISWICK XB/CP1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 7.4 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | SPONGE BABE M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 81.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BABY CRYSTAL | 19.9% | 5.03 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 15.2% | 6.57 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 10.2% | 9.82 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | GREENWICH | 8.5% | 11.75 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | CRAZY TREASURE | 8.1% | 12.27 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | FLYING DRAGON | 8.1% | 12.41 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | PRINCE CHISWICK | 6.6% | 15.19 | 13 |
| 8 | 8 | PERFECTO MOMENTS | 5.4% | 18.54 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | FUN ELITE | 4.8% | 20.93 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | WINNING GOLD | 4.5% | 22.37 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 3.1% | 31.80 | 4 |
| 12 | 14 | ACE TALENT | 2.6% | 38.90 | 6 |
| 13 | 9 | SPONGE BABE | 1.9% | 52.89 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | MR GOOD VIBES | 1.1% | 87.81 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 106.5
PLACE
1 16.5
5 27.5
6 137.5
QUINELLA
1,5 175
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 75.5
1,6 270
5,6 620
FORECAST
5,1 508
TIERCE
5,1,6 16,980
TRIO
1,5,6 2,967
FIRST 4
1,5,6,11 14,246
QUARTET
5,1,6,11 300,653
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,8/1,5,6 190,153
3RD DOUBLE
8/1 79.5
8/5 3,118.5