沙田 · 2023-12-26 · 06:35
第 4場
2023-12-26沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、T P Yung訓練的FUN ELITE勝出，贏出1-1/2。BABY CRYSTAL獲得亞軍；LIFELINE EXPRESS獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門BABY CRYSTAL跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FUN ELITE TT1 0.56.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | BABY CRYSTAL B1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 3.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | LIFELINE EXPRESS A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 57.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 7 | 40.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | FLYING DRAGON XB K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 3 | 9.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | ACE TALENT PC-/H/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 10 | 37.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER TT1 J McDonald · J Richards | J McDonald | J Richards | 6 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | PERFECTO MOMENTS TT1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 9 | 21.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | MR GOOD VIBES A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 38.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | GREENWICH V-/PC1/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 11 | 3.6 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | CRAZY TREASURE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | WINNING GOLD H1/TT1 K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 14 | 125.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | PRINCE CHISWICK XB/CP1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 7.4 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | SPONGE BABE M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 81.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BABY CRYSTAL | 19.9% | 5.03 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 15.2% | 6.57 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 10.2% | 9.82 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | GREENWICH | 8.5% | 11.75 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | CRAZY TREASURE | 8.1% | 12.27 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | FLYING DRAGON | 8.1% | 12.41 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | PRINCE CHISWICK | 6.6% | 15.19 | 13 |
| 8 | 8 | PERFECTO MOMENTS | 5.4% | 18.54 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | FUN ELITE | 4.8% | 20.93 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | WINNING GOLD | 4.5% | 22.37 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 3.1% | 31.80 | 4 |
| 12 | 14 | ACE TALENT | 2.6% | 38.90 | 6 |
| 13 | 9 | SPONGE BABE | 1.9% | 52.89 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | MR GOOD VIBES | 1.1% | 87.81 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 106.5
PLACE
1 16.5
5 27.5
6 137.5
QUINELLA
1,5 175
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 75.5
1,6 270
5,6 620
FORECAST
5,1 508
TIERCE
5,1,6 16,980
TRIO
1,5,6 2,967
FIRST 4
1,5,6,11 14,246
QUARTET
5,1,6,11 300,653
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,8/1,5,6 190,153
3RD DOUBLE
8/1 79.5
8/5 3,118.5