沙田 · 2023-12-26 · 07:05
第 5場
2023-12-26沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的SUPER GOLDI勝出，贏出1/2。TOP SCORER獲得亞軍；PHOENIX LIGHT獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門TOP SCORER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER GOLDI 1.09.76 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 5.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | TOP SCORER Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | PHOENIX LIGHT B/TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | MR MAESTRO XB/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 11 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | FORTUNE WARRIOR CP E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 2 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | NISHIKADO B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 39.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | PINGWU SPARKLE B1/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | WOODFIRE CHAMP TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 74.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER B K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 8 | 7.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | ALWAYS AWESOME A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 12 | 94.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER SIXTY TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | GRAND CONQUEROR CP1 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 130.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TOP SCORER | 26.6% | 3.76 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 14.4% | 6.95 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER | 13.7% | 7.32 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 10.0% | 9.97 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | SUPER SIXTY | 8.6% | 11.65 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPER GOLDI | 5.7% | 17.40 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | MR MAESTRO | 5.2% | 19.37 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | PINGWU SPARKLE | 5.1% | 19.52 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | NISHIKADO | 4.9% | 20.28 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | ALWAYS AWESOME | 3.7% | 27.19 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | WOODFIRE CHAMP | 1.4% | 71.65 | 8 |
| 12 | 3 | GRAND CONQUEROR | 0.7% | 149.69 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 51.5
PLACE
2 26
6 22.5
8 13.5
QUINELLA
6,8 103
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 104
2,8 48
6,8 41
FORECAST
6,8 281
TIERCE
6,8,2 1,619
TRIO
2,6,8 268
FIRST 4
2,4,6,8 929
QUARTET
6,8,2,4 21,656
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
8/5/6 21,651
8/5/8 3,174
4TH DOUBLE
5/6 744.5
5/8 131.5