Sha Tin · 2023-12-26 · 17:13
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NORTHERN BEACHES 0.56.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 12 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH H/TT C Y Ho · W K Mo | C Y Ho | W K Mo | 6 | 51.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | HEROIC MASTER CP/TT J McDonald · F C Lor | J McDonald | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR B K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHEVAL VALIANT B-/H-/SR1/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 11 | 6.3 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | JOLLY COMPANION XB M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 2 | 67.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MUST GO A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 13 | 29.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 3 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | KYEEMA Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 5 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SOLAR UP B1 M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 10 | 46.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY GOR E/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 14 | 6.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | KA YING POWER H/B1/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 43.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | PACKING BOLE TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 5.5 | 11 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-26 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. NORTHERN BEACHES, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with CALIFORNIA TOUCH second and HEROIC MASTER third. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HEROIC MASTER | 16.9% | 5.90 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | PACKING BOLE | 15.2% | 6.59 | 14 |
| 3 | 0 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 13.9% | 7.20 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 10.7% | 9.32 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | KYEEMA | 9.7% | 10.28 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 8.6% | 11.67 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 8.4% | 11.95 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY GOR | 7.3% | 13.73 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | SOLAR UP | 2.2% | 44.92 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR | 2.1% | 47.39 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | MUST GO | 1.7% | 57.32 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | JOLLY COMPANION | 1.7% | 60.56 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | KA YING POWER | 0.9% | 112.70 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH | 0.7% | 138.72 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 37
PLACE
2 35
7 133.5
10 18
QUINELLA
7,10 1,067
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 798
2,10 97.5
7,10 335.5
FORECAST
10,7 2,078
TIERCE
10,7,2 24,180
TRIO
2,7,10 4,732
FIRST 4
2,7,10,13 14,518
QUARTET
10,7,2,13 315,189
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
10/7 185.5
10/10 101.5