沙田 · 2024-01-24 · 12:30
第 3場
2024-01-24沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、J Richards訓練的G LINER勝出，贏出3/4。MISSION BRAVO獲得亞軍；VIVA HUNTER獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.3倍大熱門LUCKY BANNER跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | G LINER 一路領先 H/XB/P1/TT 1.39.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 4 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO 後段發力 B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 13 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | VIVA HUNTER 後段發力 TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 6 | 8.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | LUCKY BANNER H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 3 | 3.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | NOBLE WIN 後段發力 E/XB Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 4.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | WINNING SEVEN XB/B1/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 1 | 80.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | KASI FARASI B-/P1 A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 7 | 31.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | THE CONCENTRATION M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 102.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | YOUNG HORIZON H2 M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 5 | 9.1 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | LEGION OF MERIT B/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 2 | 6.6 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | GOODBAN BANBANBANG 後段發力 XB-/H/P1 K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 14 | 178.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 10 | 36.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 6 | SMILING COLLECTOR V-/XB H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 11 | 15.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | LUCKY CHEVALIERS K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 129.0 | 29-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LUCKY BANNER | 19.1% | 5.24 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | NOBLE WIN | 16.5% | 6.04 | 5 |
| 3 | 9 | LEGION OF MERIT | 9.8% | 10.17 | 10 |
| 4 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO | 9.7% | 10.30 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | YOUNG HORIZON | 7.9% | 12.73 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | G LINER | 7.8% | 12.81 | 1 |
| 7 | 13 | KASI FARASI | 7.7% | 13.07 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | VIVA HUNTER | 5.2% | 19.39 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 5.1% | 19.48 | 13 |
| 10 | 2 | GOODBAN BANBANBANG | 2.8% | 35.22 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | LUCKY CHEVALIERS | 2.5% | 39.42 | 14 |
| 12 | 11 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 2.4% | 42.34 | 12 |
| 13 | 7 | WINNING SEVEN | 2.1% | 47.36 | 6 |
| 14 | 8 | THE CONCENTRATION | 1.4% | 73.40 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 140.5
PLACE
1 28
4 35.5
12 36.5
QUINELLA
4,12 690.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 165
1,12 160.5
4,12 208.5
FORECAST
12,4 1,328
TIERCE
12,4,1 17,999
TRIO
1,4,12 2,431
FIRST 4
1,3,4,12 1,309
QUARTET
12,4,1,3 48,086
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
2/4 138.5
2/12 1,397