沙田 · 2024-01-24 · 14:55
第 8場
2024-01-24沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由A Atzeni策騎、C W Chang訓練的SO WE JOY勝出，贏出1-3/4。ADEFILL獲得亞軍；YELLOWFIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.3倍大熱門FRANTANCK跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SO WE JOY 後段發力 H/TT 1.38.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 11 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | ADEFILL 後段發力 B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | YELLOWFIN 早段領放 XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 6.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | PERFECT TEAM 後段發力 H/P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | FRANTANCK K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 4 | 2.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | OUTGATE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | SEIZING THE MOMENT 後段發力 B-/PC2 A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 14 | 41.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE CP-/B1/TT M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 2 | 103.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | NORDIC STAR 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 9 | 12.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | LOYAL BABY H/TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 1 | 102.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 72.0 | 25-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | MIGHTY ARMOUR PC/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 12 | 145.0 | 27-1/2 |
| — | 8 | ROMANTIC CHARM V/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 5 | 13.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FRANTANCK | 26.3% | 3.80 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | ADEFILL | 19.8% | 5.06 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | YELLOWFIN | 13.7% | 7.28 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | NORDIC STAR | 10.5% | 9.49 | 10 |
| 5 | 5 | PERFECT TEAM | 6.9% | 14.49 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 5.5% | 18.20 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | OUTGATE | 4.1% | 24.11 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | SO WE JOY | 3.5% | 28.58 | 1 |
| 9 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 3.0% | 33.08 | 12 |
| 10 | 14 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 2.7% | 37.22 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | LOYAL BABY | 1.7% | 58.87 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE | 1.7% | 59.79 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | MIGHTY ARMOUR | 0.5% | 200.94 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 231.5
PLACE
2 22
4 14.5
9 52
QUINELLA
4,9 403.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 46
2,9 222
4,9 120.5
FORECAST
9,4 1,224
TIERCE
9,4,2 7,422
TRIO
2,4,9 761
FIRST 4
2,4,5,9 1,359
QUARTET
9,4,2,5 44,307
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
12/3/4 2,005
12/3/9 40,005
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,6/2,4,9 19,457
7TH DOUBLE
3/4 28
3/9 971.5
SIX UP
4,12/9,13/2,12/8,12/3,6/4,9 404,840
3 [K Teetan] —
1 [J Richards] —