沙田 · 2024-01-24 · 14:20
第 7場
2024-01-24沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由H Bowman策騎、J Richards訓練的MAGNIAC勝出，贏出2。SMOKEY BEAR獲得亞軍；CAPITAL DELIGHT獲得季軍。頭馬以3.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MAGNIAC V/TT 1.08.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 2 | 3.6 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | SMOKEY BEAR B/XB/TT K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 5 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | CAPITAL DELIGHT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 4.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SPORTS LEGEND CP-/TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 9 | 23.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | TORONADO PHANTOM P/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 10 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | MARK THE MOMENT V/TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 12 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | SAVVY CHIC CP-/B1/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 39.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | FIERY DIAMOND V1 E C W Wong · T P Yung | E C W Wong | T P Yung | 8 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | GOOD BUDDY B/TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 9.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | LADY'S CHOICE H/V K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 4 | 7.3 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | ALL IS GOOD B L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 3 | 41.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | CAMPIONE B-/V1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 14.0 | 13-1/4 |
| — | 0 | MONTA FRUTTA M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 16.9% | 5.91 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | LADY'S CHOICE | 15.6% | 6.43 | 10 |
| 3 | 3 | MAGNIAC | 13.0% | 7.72 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | SMOKEY BEAR | 9.6% | 10.38 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 8.4% | 11.84 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | FIERY DIAMOND | 7.3% | 13.61 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | GOOD BUDDY | 7.2% | 13.84 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | CAMPIONE | 6.9% | 14.43 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | MARK THE MOMENT | 6.7% | 14.88 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | SAVVY CHIC | 4.6% | 21.84 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | ALL IS GOOD | 2.6% | 38.44 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | SPORTS LEGEND | 1.1% | 91.83 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 36.5
PLACE
2 16
3 16
6 44.5
QUINELLA
3,6 276.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 35
2,6 82
3,6 101
FORECAST
3,6 420
TIERCE
3,6,2 1,313
TRIO
2,3,6 184
FIRST 4
2,3,6,11 1,905
QUARTET
3,6,2,11 27,894
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
12/3 1,705
12/6 527