沙田 · 2024-01-24 · 12:50
第 4場
2024-01-24沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K C Leung策騎、D A Hayes訓練的CHIRON勝出，贏出3/4。CHARMING STEED獲得亞軍；ASIAN ONE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門PRECISION GOAL跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | CHIRON 後段發力 B/TT 1.39.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 7 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | CHARMING STEED 後段發力 E/V/XB/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 33.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | ASIAN ONE 後段發力 V-/XB/PC2/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 1 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | STARSHIP EIGHTY 後段發力 PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 11 | 4.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | BAEBAE TSOI CP/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 9 | 66.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | PRECISION GOAL 早段領放 TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 14 | 4.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GO GO GO 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 6 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H/TT Y L Chung · W Y So | Y L Chung | W Y So | 3 | 6.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | COMPULSORY 後段發力 B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 8 | 46.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | SUPER JOY 後段發力 B/XB/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 12 | 7.5 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR 後段發力 CP/H/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 13 | 42.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | BIG TWO SR/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 26.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | DEVIL AND GOLD V1 E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 4 | 13.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 12 | SHENZHOU TWELVE H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 133.0 | 48-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PRECISION GOAL | 17.2% | 5.82 | 6 |
| 2 | 10 | SUPER JOY | 16.4% | 6.10 | 10 |
| 3 | 2 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 16.2% | 6.17 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 9.9% | 10.14 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | ASIAN ONE | 6.3% | 15.90 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | GO GO GO | 6.0% | 16.80 | 7 |
| 7 | 13 | CHIRON | 5.2% | 19.25 | 1 |
| 8 | 9 | CHARMING STEED | 4.8% | 20.65 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | DEVIL AND GOLD | 4.8% | 20.99 | 13 |
| 10 | 1 | BIG TWO | 4.6% | 21.64 | 12 |
| 11 | 5 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 3.0% | 32.95 | 11 |
| 12 | 14 | COMPULSORY | 2.6% | 38.05 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | BAEBAE TSOI | 2.1% | 47.41 | 5 |
| 14 | 12 | SHENZHOU TWELVE | 0.9% | 106.93 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 185.5
PLACE
3 23
9 90
13 49
QUINELLA
9,13 2,544
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 482
3,13 210.5
9,13 633.5
FORECAST
13,9 5,413
TIERCE
13,9,3 44,371
TRIO
3,9,13 6,714
FIRST 4
2,3,9,13 8,123
QUARTET
13,9,3,2 227,287
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,12/3,9,13 527,805
3RD DOUBLE
12/9 556.5
12/13 1,761