Sha Tin · 2024-01-24 · 20:46
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHIRON Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 7 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | CHARMING STEED Closed strongly E/V/XB/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 33.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly V-/XB/PC2/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 1 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 11 | 4.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BAEBAE TSOI CP/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 9 | 66.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PRECISION GOAL Led early TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 14 | 4.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GO GO GO Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 6 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H/TT Y L Chung · W Y So | Y L Chung | W Y So | 3 | 6.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | COMPULSORY Closed strongly B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 8 | 46.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER JOY Closed strongly B/XB/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 12 | 7.5 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR Closed strongly CP/H/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 13 | 42.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | BIG TWO SR/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 26.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | DEVIL AND GOLD V1 E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 4 | 13.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | SHENZHOU TWELVE H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 133.0 | 48-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-24 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. CHIRON, ridden by K C Leung and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3/4, with CHARMING STEED second and ASIAN ONE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite PRECISION GOAL finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PRECISION GOAL | 17.2% | 5.82 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER JOY | 16.4% | 6.10 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 16.2% | 6.17 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 9.9% | 10.14 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | ASIAN ONE | 6.3% | 15.90 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | GO GO GO | 6.0% | 16.80 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | CHIRON | 5.2% | 19.25 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARMING STEED | 4.8% | 20.65 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | DEVIL AND GOLD | 4.8% | 20.99 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | BIG TWO | 4.6% | 21.64 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 3.0% | 32.95 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | COMPULSORY | 2.6% | 38.05 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | BAEBAE TSOI | 2.1% | 47.41 | 5 |
| 14 | 0 | SHENZHOU TWELVE | 0.9% | 106.93 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 185.5
PLACE
3 23
9 90
13 49
QUINELLA
9,13 2,544
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 482
3,13 210.5
9,13 633.5
FORECAST
13,9 5,413
TIERCE
13,9,3 44,371
TRIO
3,9,13 6,714
FIRST 4
2,3,9,13 8,123
QUARTET
13,9,3,2 227,287
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,12/3,9,13 527,805
3RD DOUBLE
12/9 556.5
12/13 1,761