Sha Tin · 2024-01-24 · 13:50
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-24 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. STRIVE FOR GLORY, ridden by K De Melo and trained by W Y So, won by 1, with SPEEDY SMARTIE second and SOLID SHALAA third. The 3.4 favourite DIAMOND FLARE finished 12th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT 1.08.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 10 | 40.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SPEEDY SMARTIE TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 6 | 7.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | SOLID SHALAA B2/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 9.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | MAYHEM H A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 3 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 12 | 54.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | JOLLY COMPANION XB E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 1 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | JOYFUL LIFE CP/TT1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 5.7 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | NISHIKADO B-/P2 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | JUDY'S GREAT TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 9.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | TOP TOP TEA V1/TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 7 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 25.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | DIAMOND FLARE B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 8 | 3.4 | 14-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DIAMOND FLARE | 16.5% | 6.06 | 12 |
| 2 | 5 | SOLID SHALAA | 15.1% | 6.61 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | TOP TOP TEA | 13.0% | 7.69 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | MAYHEM | 9.2% | 10.85 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | JUDY'S GREAT | 7.7% | 13.07 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 6.6% | 15.06 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | NISHIKADO | 6.6% | 15.16 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | MAGIC SUPREME | 6.3% | 15.85 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | JOLLY COMPANION | 6.3% | 15.86 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 5.2% | 19.41 | 1 |
| 11 | 9 | JOYFUL LIFE | 4.9% | 20.51 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 2.6% | 38.24 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 400
PLACE
5 28
8 26.5
12 80
QUINELLA
8,12 1,233.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 133
5,12 409.5
8,12 357
FORECAST
12,8 3,337
TIERCE
12,8,5 34,329
TRIO
5,8,12 3,616
FIRST 4
5,7,8,12 6,271
QUARTET
12,8,5,7 239,088
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,12/5,8,12 1,350,718
5TH DOUBLE
2/8 272
2/12 4,883
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,9,13/2,9,12/Any Combination 121,329