Sha Tin · 2024-01-24 · 19:16
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR Closed strongly B/TT 1.49.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 4 | 3.7 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | WINNING STEPS Closed strongly H/PC H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 5 | 5.5 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 3 | 9.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly H/P2/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 1 | 5.2 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR Closed strongly TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 7 | 40.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly H/XB H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | KIMBERLEY B-/PC2/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 8.8 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | READY PLAYER ONE Closed strongly B-/XB/PC1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 8 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | SAMARKAND CP/TT Y L Chung · D A Hayes | Y L Chung | D A Hayes | 11 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Led early TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 32.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR CP/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 69.0 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-24 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. BLISSFUL STAR, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by K H Ting, won by SH, with WINNING STEPS second and RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HARRY'S HERO | 15.5% | 6.47 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | SAMARKAND | 15.2% | 6.59 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR | 12.6% | 7.96 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 11.4% | 8.79 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS | 10.5% | 9.51 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | KIMBERLEY | 10.0% | 9.98 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR | 7.6% | 13.24 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING STEPS | 6.1% | 16.28 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 6.0% | 16.54 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 2.8% | 36.15 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | READY PLAYER ONE | 2.4% | 42.29 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 37
PLACE
5 14
6 20.5
8 22
QUINELLA
5,6 128
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 47
5,8 52
6,8 74.5
FORECAST
5,6 201
TIERCE
5,6,8 1,119
TRIO
5,6,8 258
FIRST 4
3,5,6,8 197
QUARTET
5,6,8,3 4,365