沙田 · 2024-04-28 · 13:29
第 10場
2024-04-28沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為YIELDING。由A Atzeni策騎、C H Yip訓練的PHOENIX LIGHT勝出，贏出1。JAMES TAK獲得亞軍；FULL CREDIT獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門FULL CREDIT跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | PHOENIX LIGHT H 1.10.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 6 | 29.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | JAMES TAK C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 9.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | FULL CREDIT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 7 | 3.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | STAR CLUB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 4 | 6.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS CP H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 2 | 9.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | GUSTOSISIMO TT1 C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 10 | 26.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | STELLAR EXPRESS J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 11 | 7.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY CP/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 13 | 33.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | STORM RIDER Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 14 | 7.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | HASTEN DELIGHT B/TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 5 | 7.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 3 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | MASSIVE ACTION SR/V H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 9 | 102.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | TELECOM POWER H-/B1 B Thompson · Y S Tsui | B Thompson | Y S Tsui | 1 | 186.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | BULB EMPEROR B E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 12 | 224.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | JAMES TAK | 13.8% | 7.26 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | STORM RIDER | 13.3% | 7.49 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | HASTEN DELIGHT | 13.3% | 7.51 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | FULL CREDIT | 13.1% | 7.64 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 11.3% | 8.82 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | STAR CLUB | 9.6% | 10.38 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 9.0% | 11.09 | 5 |
| 8 | 14 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 4.7% | 21.15 | 11 |
| 9 | 4 | GUSTOSISIMO | 3.8% | 26.54 | 6 |
| 10 | 13 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 2.8% | 36.25 | 1 |
| 11 | 10 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 2.6% | 39.06 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | MASSIVE ACTION | 1.8% | 56.94 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | BULB EMPEROR | 0.6% | 154.38 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | TELECOM POWER | 0.3% | 353.09 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 299.5
PLACE
2 29
8 17.5
13 68.5
QUINELLA
2,13 966.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 70
2,13 275
8,13 183.5
FORECAST
13,2 2,164
TIERCE
13,2,8 11,269
TRIO
2,8,13 1,438
FIRST 4
2,7,8,13 1,440
QUARTET
13,2,8,7 58,094
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
1/12/2 707
1/12/13 8,897
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,12/2,8,13 574,864
9TH DOUBLE
12/2 291
12/13 4,309
SIX UP
1,5/3,10/3,10/1,4/7,12/2,13 115,504
5/3/3/1/12/13 7,240,496
1 [J McDonald] —
5 [C S Shum] —