沙田 · 2024-04-28 · 13:29
第 9場
2024-04-28沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為YIELDING。由M F Poon策騎、C S Shum訓練的SUPREME LUCKY勝出，贏出SH。WONDER KIT獲得亞軍；BLUE MARLIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.8倍大熱門OUTGATE跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPREME LUCKY 後段發力 TT 1.22.33 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 12.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | WONDER KIT 早段領放 B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 19.0 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | BLUE MARLIN 後段發力 H H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 13 | 6.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | ATULLIBIGEAL 後段發力 B/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 7.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 56.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 9 | 6.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 3 | 8.3 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | OUTGATE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 1 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | KEEFY B Thompson · F C Lor | B Thompson | F C Lor | 5 | 66.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | MIGHTY STRIDE 後段發力 L Morris · P F Yiu | L Morris | P F Yiu | 11 | 12.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPERB BOY TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 7 | 11.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | FANTASTIC TREASURE B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 29.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | OUTGATE | 20.4% | 4.90 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER | 14.0% | 7.14 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | BLUE MARLIN | 12.1% | 8.27 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | WONDER KIT | 11.1% | 9.03 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER | 9.3% | 10.72 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 5.7% | 17.41 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPERB BOY | 5.7% | 17.51 | 12 |
| 8 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 5.3% | 18.88 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | MIGHTY STRIDE | 4.0% | 24.77 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 3.8% | 26.44 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPREME LUCKY | 3.7% | 26.87 | 1 |
| 12 | 11 | KEEFY | 2.9% | 34.73 | 10 |
| 13 | 4 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 1.9% | 52.81 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 123
PLACE
7 55
8 24.5
12 40
QUINELLA
7,12 1,393.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 224
7,12 425
8,12 141.5
FORECAST
12,7 2,522
TIERCE
12,7,8 20,965
TRIO
7,8,12 2,876
FIRST 4
3,7,8,12 4,777
QUARTET
12,7,8,3 142,990
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
1/7 67
1/12 302