Sha Tin · 2024-04-28 · 17:30
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPREME LUCKY Closed strongly TT 1.22.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 12.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | WONDER KIT Led early B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 19.0 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | BLUE MARLIN Closed strongly H H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 13 | 6.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 7.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 56.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 9 | 6.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 3 | 8.3 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | OUTGATE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 1 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | KEEFY B Thompson · F C Lor | B Thompson | F C Lor | 5 | 66.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | MIGHTY STRIDE Closed strongly L Morris · P F Yiu | L Morris | P F Yiu | 11 | 12.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPERB BOY TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 7 | 11.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | FANTASTIC TREASURE B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 29.0 | 15 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-28 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. SUPREME LUCKY, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with WONDER KIT second and BLUE MARLIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite OUTGATE finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | OUTGATE | 20.4% | 4.90 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER | 14.0% | 7.14 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | BLUE MARLIN | 12.1% | 8.27 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | WONDER KIT | 11.1% | 9.03 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER | 9.3% | 10.72 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 5.7% | 17.41 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPERB BOY | 5.7% | 17.51 | 12 |
| 8 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 5.3% | 18.88 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | MIGHTY STRIDE | 4.0% | 24.77 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 3.8% | 26.44 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPREME LUCKY | 3.7% | 26.87 | 1 |
| 12 | 11 | KEEFY | 2.9% | 34.73 | 10 |
| 13 | 4 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 1.9% | 52.81 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 123
PLACE
7 55
8 24.5
12 40
QUINELLA
7,12 1,393.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 224
7,12 425
8,12 141.5
FORECAST
12,7 2,522
TIERCE
12,7,8 20,965
TRIO
7,8,12 2,876
FIRST 4
3,7,8,12 4,777
QUARTET
12,7,8,3 142,990
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
1/7 67
1/12 302