Sha Tin · 2024-04-28 · 13:30
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-28 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on YIELDING going. KARMA, ridden by B Shinn and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/4, with VOYAGE SAMURAI second and POWERFUL WINGS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite VOYAGE SAMURAI finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | KARMA Closed strongly TT 1.34.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 9 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | VOYAGE SAMURAI Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 3.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly CP1 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 8 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | HELENE WARRIOR Closed strongly XB1/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 1 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | STAR MAC Closed strongly B-/CP2 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 7.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | FRANTANCK Led early Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 11 | 4.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | STUNNING PEACH TT1 Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 2 | 4.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | FOOLISH HEART V A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 7 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | KA YING SUPERB Closed strongly H/P/TT- M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 10 | 76.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | BEAUTY LIVE CP2/TT B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | 4 | 100.0 | 16-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 21.1% | 4.74 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | FRANTANCK | 13.5% | 7.42 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | STUNNING PEACH | 13.0% | 7.72 | 8 |
| 4 | 11 | FOOLISH HEART | 12.4% | 8.09 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | STAR MAC | 9.9% | 10.10 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | HELENE WARRIOR | 8.9% | 11.24 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | KARMA | 6.9% | 14.40 | 1 |
| 8 | 4 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 6.4% | 15.70 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | POWERFUL WINGS | 4.2% | 24.01 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | BEAUTY LIVE | 2.1% | 48.58 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | KA YING SUPERB | 1.8% | 55.98 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 111
PLACE
6 32
7 16.5
10 37.5
QUINELLA
6,7 230.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 81
6,10 193
7,10 126
FORECAST
6,7 627
TIERCE
6,7,10 6,183
TRIO
6,7,10 1,052
FIRST 4
6,7,8,10 3,137
QUARTET
6,7,10,8 80,881
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
14/6 1,244.5
14/7 129
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,14/6,7,10 561,087