Sha Tin · 2024-04-28 · 13:30
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-28 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on YIELDING going. BEAUTY ETERNAL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/2, with RED LION second and VOYAGE BUBBLE third. The winner led throughout. The 1.5 favourite GOLDEN SIXTY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Wire to wire 1.34.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | RED LION Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 8 | 30.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | VOYAGE BUBBLE CP J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 6 | 6.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 1.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly B Shinn · P C Ng | B Shinn | P C Ng | 1 | 5.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | TAJ DRAGON A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 101.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 23.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | ELTON BAROWS BO1 A Nishimura · H Sugiyama | A Nishimura | H Sugiyama | 5 | 86.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | BRAVE EMPEROR B/XB L Morris · A Watson | L Morris | A Watson | 9 | 46.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | OBAMBURUMAI D Lane · K Yoshimura | D Lane | K Yoshimura | 10 | 46.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | CHAMPAGNE COLOR H/XB R Sakai · T Tanaka | R Sakai | T Tanaka | 2 | 125.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY | 37.6% | 2.66 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 19.2% | 5.21 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 12.7% | 7.89 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | GALAXY PATCH | 5.9% | 17.08 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | RED LION | 5.1% | 19.75 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | ELTON BAROWS | 4.3% | 23.46 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY JOY | 3.6% | 27.89 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | BRAVE EMPEROR | 3.6% | 28.00 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | CHAMPAGNE COLOR | 3.4% | 29.14 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | OBAMBURUMAI | 2.5% | 39.30 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | TAJ DRAGON | 2.2% | 45.07 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 126.5
PLACE
2 14.5
3 27
10 43
QUINELLA
3,10 1,110.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 70.5
2,10 122.5
3,10 207.5
FORECAST
3,10 2,441
TIERCE
3,10,2 12,773
TRIO
2,3,10 2,060
FIRST 4
1,2,3,10 258
QUARTET
3,10,2,1 16,121
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
3/3 1,795
3/10 605