Sha Tin · 2024-04-28 · 13:30
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-28 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on YIELDING going. LUCY IN THE SKY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1-1/2, with GLORY ELITE second and DIVANO third. The 3.1 favourite DIVANO finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LUCY IN THE SKY H 1.09.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 4.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | GLORY ELITE H K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | DIVANO TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 3.1 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | HAPPY FOR ALL B/TT J McDonald · J Richards | J McDonald | J Richards | 12 | 6.2 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | HANDSOME BOMB TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 4 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | LIFELINE EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 3 | 7.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | SPICY GOLD H/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | GOLDEN DARCI P-/XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 38.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | GANGNAM STAR XB M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 2 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | ISLAND GOLDEN B/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 10 | 29.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | GRAND BOSS TT1 Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 14 | 97.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SILVER DESTINY TT- B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 6 | 32.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | VERBIER B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 7 | 155.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | MIGHTY STRENGTH M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 13 | 88.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DIVANO | 18.2% | 5.50 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 13.4% | 7.47 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 10.9% | 9.19 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 10.3% | 9.70 | 1 |
| 5 | 14 | GANGNAM STAR | 8.6% | 11.66 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | SPICY GOLD | 7.3% | 13.61 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | GRAND BOSS | 5.4% | 18.50 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | GOLDEN DARCI | 5.3% | 18.78 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | GLORY ELITE | 5.2% | 19.06 | 2 |
| 10 | 6 | HANDSOME BOMB | 4.4% | 22.60 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 4.3% | 23.25 | 14 |
| 12 | 11 | SILVER DESTINY | 3.1% | 32.55 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 2.5% | 39.62 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | VERBIER | 1.0% | 97.33 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 43.5
PLACE
1 16.5
3 17
8 42
QUINELLA
3,8 311.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 36.5
1,8 100
3,8 112.5
FORECAST
3,8 574
TIERCE
3,8,1 2,344
TRIO
1,3,8 291
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 418
QUARTET
3,8,1,9 11,127
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
6/3 528
6/8 403