沙田 · 2024-05-29 · 12:46
第 4場
2024-05-29沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由A Atzeni策騎、J Richards訓練的ASIAN ONE勝出，贏出1/2。RELIABLE PROFIT獲得亞軍；VIVA A LA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門GO HERO跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ASIAN ONE 後段發力 B-/XB/PC2/TT 1.40.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 2 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | RELIABLE PROFIT 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 6 | 7.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | VIVA A LA 早段領放 B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 4 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | PERFECT PEACH 後段發力 B-/P1/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 7 | 7.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MEDIC ELITE 後段發力 PC/TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 10 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 14 | GREEN LASER 後段發力 PC/TT B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 8 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | NINJA DERBY 後段發力 H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 14 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | WOODFIRE CHAMP TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 1 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | CHIRON 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 13 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | PRECISION GOAL TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 11 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | GO HERO B/TT Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 3 | 3.5 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | EAGLE RUN TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 9.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 8 | GENERAL ACE CP K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 5 | 35.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | WINNING SEVEN XB/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 12 | 27.0 | 19-1/4 |
| — | 0 | CHARMING STEED C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GO HERO | 17.7% | 5.65 | 11 |
| 2 | 7 | PERFECT PEACH | 11.4% | 8.78 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | VIVA A LA | 8.6% | 11.63 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | ASIAN ONE | 8.3% | 12.06 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | NINJA DERBY | 8.3% | 12.07 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | PRECISION GOAL | 7.9% | 12.73 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | MEDIC ELITE | 6.6% | 15.20 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | CHIRON | 5.7% | 17.54 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 5.6% | 17.78 | 2 |
| 10 | 13 | EAGLE RUN | 4.5% | 22.15 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | WINNING SEVEN | 4.3% | 23.44 | 14 |
| 12 | 14 | GREEN LASER | 3.9% | 25.88 | 6 |
| 13 | 8 | GENERAL ACE | 3.8% | 26.55 | 13 |
| 14 | 6 | WOODFIRE CHAMP | 3.6% | 28.16 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 123
PLACE
3 24
11 56.5
12 28.5
QUINELLA
3,12 427
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 227
3,12 134
11,12 260
FORECAST
12,3 986
TIERCE
12,3,11 14,970
TRIO
3,11,12 2,540
FIRST 4
3,7,11,12 2,883
QUARTET
12,3,11,7 62,968
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,10/3,11,12 141,586
3RD DOUBLE
1/3 93
1/12 719.5