沙田 · 2024-05-29 · 13:47
第 6場
2024-05-29沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由H Bowman策騎、J Richards訓練的G LINER勝出，贏出1/2。BRAVE WITNESS獲得亞軍；JUBILATION獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。5.6倍大熱門BRAVE WITNESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | G LINER 一路領先 H/P/XB/TT 1.49.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 10 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | BRAVE WITNESS CP1/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 4 | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | JUBILATION 後段發力 V K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 3 | 7.6 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | GALLANT HERO 後段發力 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 6 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | LUCKY BANNER H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 5 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | FOREVER FOLKS 後段發力 B B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 7 | 8.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | FURY AND GOLD CP- A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 1 | 40.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO 後段發力 B L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 12 | 9.5 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | KIMBERLEY B-/PC2/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 14 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | KYRUS UNICORN B H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 9 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | STARSHIP EIGHTY 後段發力 PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 13 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | VIVA HUNTER TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | MR ALADDIN B-/V1 L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 11 | 24.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | LITTLE FAIRY V-/B2/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 18.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | FAST VICTORY C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KIMBERLEY | 13.7% | 7.30 | 9 |
| 2 | 5 | G LINER | 11.4% | 8.78 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | BRAVE WITNESS | 9.5% | 10.51 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | MR ALADDIN | 8.9% | 11.28 | 13 |
| 5 | 6 | LUCKY BANNER | 8.7% | 11.44 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 7.4% | 13.49 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO | 6.9% | 14.49 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | FOREVER FOLKS | 6.7% | 14.83 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | JUBILATION | 6.6% | 15.09 | 3 |
| 10 | 14 | LITTLE FAIRY | 6.3% | 15.94 | 14 |
| 11 | 2 | VIVA HUNTER | 4.9% | 20.47 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | KYRUS UNICORN | 4.4% | 22.86 | 10 |
| 13 | 3 | GALLANT HERO | 3.6% | 27.80 | 4 |
| 14 | 9 | FURY AND GOLD | 1.0% | 103.69 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 179.5
PLACE
5 54
11 20.5
13 28.5
QUINELLA
5,11 672
QUINELLA PLACE
5,11 224.5
5,13 295
11,13 93
FORECAST
5,11 1,629
TIERCE
5,11,13 11,888
TRIO
5,11,13 1,761
FIRST 4
3,5,11,13 3,827
QUARTET
5,11,13,3 98,508
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,9/5,11,13 221,137
5TH DOUBLE
3/5 1,348
3/11 72.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,11,12/3,7,9/Any Combination 40,074