沙田 · 2024-05-29 · 14:53
第 8場
2024-05-29沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由B Avdulla策騎、A S Cruz訓練的BERLIN TANGO勝出，贏出SH。APACHE PASS獲得亞軍；PERFECT TEAM獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門WOODFIRE BRO跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BERLIN TANGO 後段發力 H-/B/TT 1.39.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.4 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | APACHE PASS 後段發力 BO/XB H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 8 | 9.3 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | PERFECT TEAM 後段發力 H/P/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 2 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | WOODFIRE BRO 後段發力 TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 5 | 3.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | AMAZING DUCK V-/CP2 M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 11 | 9.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | AESTHETICISM 後段發力 B L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 4 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | SURUGA BAY 後段發力 B-/V1/TT1 K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 14 | 66.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | SILVER UP 後段發力 B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 9.8 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | RED MAJESTY B/TT K De Melo · D A Hayes | K De Melo | D A Hayes | 1 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | DEVILDOM 後段發力 B B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 10 | 75.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | HIGHLAND RAHY TT A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 13 | 57.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | SUPER WINNER TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 7 | 99.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER B/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 12 | 38.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | MASSIVE ACTION 早段領放 SR/V H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 9 | 14.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PERFECT TEAM | 15.1% | 6.60 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | BERLIN TANGO | 12.5% | 8.00 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | SILVER UP | 10.7% | 9.35 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | AESTHETICISM | 9.3% | 10.77 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | WOODFIRE BRO | 9.0% | 11.13 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | MASSIVE ACTION | 8.1% | 12.39 | 14 |
| 7 | 3 | APACHE PASS | 7.5% | 13.27 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER | 7.4% | 13.59 | 13 |
| 9 | 13 | RED MAJESTY | 5.2% | 19.20 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPER WINNER | 4.6% | 21.60 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | AMAZING DUCK | 4.3% | 23.10 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | DEVILDOM | 2.5% | 40.27 | 10 |
| 13 | 8 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 2.0% | 50.24 | 11 |
| 14 | 11 | SURUGA BAY | 1.8% | 55.76 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 54
PLACE
1 19.5
3 28
4 19
QUINELLA
1,3 269.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 92
1,4 56
3,4 77
FORECAST
1,3 500
TIERCE
1,3,4 1,700
TRIO
1,3,4 304
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 195
QUARTET
1,3,4,2 4,281
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
5/3/1 7,124
5/3/3 1,565
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,6/1,3,4 37,692
7TH DOUBLE
3/1 200.5
3/3 67.5
SIX UP
1,4/3,12/3,7/5,11/3,5/1,3 27,046
1/12/3/5/3/1 1,263,187
21 [Others] —
6 [H Bowman] —