沙田 · 2024-10-20 · 08:15
第 7場
2024-10-20沙田第7場，Group 2，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的KA YING RISING勝出，贏出1-1/2。HELIOS EXPRESS獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA SPANGLE獲得季軍。頭馬以1.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KA YING RISING 1.07.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 1.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | HELIOS EXPRESS A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 3 | 9.3 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | BEAUTY WAVES E/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 10 | 7.8 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | LUCKY WITH YOU A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 12 | 138.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | FLYING ACE B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 69.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 13 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT K De Melo · D A Hayes | K De Melo | D A Hayes | 4 | 43.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | PACKING TREADMILL SR-/CP1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 157.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SAGE CP H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 27.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | TAJ DRAGON B1 C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 7 | 52.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | ENCOUNTERED B2/TT- H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 6 | 183.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 11 | 227.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KA YING RISING | 49.9% | 2.01 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 14.0% | 7.13 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | BEAUTY WAVES | 9.0% | 11.10 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 7.6% | 13.10 | 10 |
| 5 | 11 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 4.2% | 24.00 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 3.9% | 25.41 | 7 |
| 7 | 13 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 2.1% | 47.44 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | FLYING ACE | 2.0% | 48.84 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | TAJ DRAGON | 2.0% | 50.91 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 1.4% | 69.77 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | ENCOUNTERED | 1.4% | 70.02 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 1.3% | 79.25 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | PACKING TREADMILL | 1.1% | 88.30 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 13.5
PLACE
1 18.5
2 10.1
11 37.5
QUINELLA
2,11 95
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 19.5
1,11 150
2,11 42
FORECAST
2,11 127
TIERCE
2,11,1 573
TRIO
1,2,11 187
FIRST 4
1,2,8,11 177
QUARTET
2,11,1,8 2,248
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
13/2 124
13/11 379.5