沙田 · 2024-10-20 · 08:55
第 8場
2024-10-20沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的PACKING HERMOD勝出，贏出1-1/4。SUPER INFINITY獲得亞軍；ARMOUR WAR EAGLE獲得季軍。頭馬以1.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PACKING HERMOD 1.09.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 12 | 1.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | SUPER INFINITY CP H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 1 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 13 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE H-/XB- L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | I GIVE A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 10 | 51.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | CAPTAIN WIN B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 14 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | GIDDY UP TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 9 | 36.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | GREAT STATE TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 2 | 39.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | GOKO WIN B M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 11 | 26.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | MAGNIFICENT NINE B/E M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 7 | 23.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | THUNDER BLINK C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 4 | 29.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | DASHING DRAGON B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 8 | 133.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | ELEGANT LIFE CP A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 13 | 40.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | PERFUSE V1 K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 6 | 221.0 | 17-1/4 |
| — | 3 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PACKING HERMOD | 46.6% | 2.14 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | SUPER INFINITY | 14.8% | 6.75 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | CAPTAIN WIN | 8.9% | 11.20 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | THUNDER BLINK | 6.6% | 15.08 | 10 |
| 5 | 10 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 5.8% | 17.28 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | I GIVE | 3.2% | 31.60 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | GREAT STATE | 2.7% | 37.19 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 2.7% | 37.25 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | GOKO WIN | 2.6% | 39.19 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | GIDDY UP | 2.1% | 48.25 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | PERFUSE | 1.9% | 51.68 | 13 |
| 12 | 14 | ELEGANT LIFE | 1.4% | 70.45 | 12 |
| 13 | 7 | DASHING DRAGON | 0.7% | 148.98 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 15.5
PLACE
2 10.1
12 16
13 26
QUINELLA
2,12 33
QUINELLA PLACE
2,12 18
2,13 34
12,13 52.5
FORECAST
2,12 49
TIERCE
2,12,13 253
TRIO
2,12,13 95
FIRST 4
1,2,12,13 691
QUARTET
2,12,13,1 3,876
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,11/2,3,12,13 1,503
7TH DOUBLE
2/2,3 15
2/12 17