沙田 · 2024-10-20 · 06:20
第 4場
2024-10-20沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米。由B Avdulla策騎、J Size訓練的MAJESTIC EXPRESS勝出，贏出SH。SUPER LEGENDS獲得亞軍；SPICY SPANGLE獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門SUPER LEGENDS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS E 1.09.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 20.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER LEGENDS TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 5 | 3.4 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | SPICY SPANGLE TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 7 | 40.0 | N |
| 4 | 11 | FUN N GLORY XB P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 13 | 6.3 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY MISSILE PC A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 6 | 7.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | BIENVENUE L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | HAPPY PARK XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 9 | 8.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | GLUCK RACER H/V2 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | GIANT LEAP B-/SB1 C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 1 | 5.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | PANDA B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 4 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | CARRYON SMILING H1/TT1 M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 14 | 171.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | EXCEED THE WISH L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 33.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | LUCKY GENERATIONS SR/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 10 | 18.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | DOUBLE BINGO SR-/H/TT- K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 47.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER LEGENDS | 18.7% | 5.34 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 13.8% | 7.25 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | GIANT LEAP | 10.6% | 9.42 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS | 8.7% | 11.54 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | HAPPY PARK | 7.8% | 12.82 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | FUN N GLORY | 7.0% | 14.22 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 5.9% | 16.95 | 13 |
| 8 | 8 | EXCEED THE WISH | 5.9% | 17.01 | 12 |
| 9 | 14 | GLUCK RACER | 5.8% | 17.19 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | BIENVENUE | 3.7% | 26.88 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | SPICY SPANGLE | 3.3% | 30.13 | 3 |
| 12 | 7 | CARRYON SMILING | 3.0% | 33.09 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | DOUBLE BINGO | 2.9% | 34.65 | 14 |
| 14 | 5 | PANDA | 2.8% | 35.30 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 207
PLACE
2 60.5
3 14
13 113.5
QUINELLA
2,3 369.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 138.5
2,13 762
3,13 247
FORECAST
2,3 903
TIERCE
2,3,13 20,794
TRIO
2,3,13 4,010
FIRST 4
2,3,11,13 5,357
QUARTET
2,3,13,11 140,936
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
14>1,2,6/2,3,13 149,731
3RD DOUBLE
2/2 654
2/3 32.5