沙田 · 2024-10-20 · 07:45
第 6場
2024-10-20沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米。由K Teetan策騎、W K Mo訓練的PATCH OF TIME勝出，贏出N。BLAZING WIND獲得亞軍；HAROLD WIN獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門COURIER ALADDIN跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | PATCH OF TIME H 1.09.18 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 4 | 6.3 | N |
| 2 | 5 | BLAZING WIND TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 1 | 5.4 | N |
| 3 | 1 | HAROLD WIN B/XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 12 | 5.3 | N |
| 4 | 8 | COLOURFUL WINNER CP1 M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 11 | 60.0 | N |
| 5 | 9 | DRAGON JOY SR1 B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 13 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 10 | 9.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MONARCH COUNTY TT1 H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | CIRCUIT VICTORY K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | KING OBERON L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 3 | MOTOMAN B/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 7 | 75.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | COURIER ALADDIN CP/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 14 | 3.4 | 5 |
| 12 | 14 | SILVER DESTINY B/TT2 Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 8 | 51.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | LIFE OF STONE CP1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 106.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | DECRELOT CP1 H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 6 | 59.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COURIER ALADDIN | 27.7% | 3.61 | 11 |
| 2 | 7 | MONARCH COUNTY | 11.9% | 8.37 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS | 11.3% | 8.85 | 6 |
| 4 | 13 | PATCH OF TIME | 9.3% | 10.72 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | HAROLD WIN | 9.0% | 11.15 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | BLAZING WIND | 6.8% | 14.78 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | KING OBERON | 6.5% | 15.48 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | DECRELOT | 3.6% | 27.62 | 14 |
| 9 | 8 | COLOURFUL WINNER | 3.6% | 27.79 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 3.0% | 33.62 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | DRAGON JOY | 2.9% | 34.39 | 5 |
| 12 | 14 | SILVER DESTINY | 1.9% | 51.41 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | MOTOMAN | 1.6% | 62.10 | 10 |
| 14 | 11 | LIFE OF STONE | 0.9% | 112.85 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 63
PLACE
1 20.5
5 18
13 22
QUINELLA
5,13 164.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 66.5
1,13 63.5
5,13 58
FORECAST
13,5 354
TIERCE
13,5,1 2,315
TRIO
1,5,13 363
FIRST 4
1,5,8,13 3,645
QUARTET
13,5,1,8 56,137
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,10/1,5,13 14,795
5TH DOUBLE
10/5 20.5
10/13 260.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,13/4,6,10/1,5,13 7,998,616
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,13/4,6,10/Any Combination 32,176