Sha Tin · 2024-10-20 · 07:45
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-20 was Class 4 over 1200m. PATCH OF TIME, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W K Mo, won by N, with BLAZING WIND second and HAROLD WIN third. The 3.4 favourite COURIER ALADDIN finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | PATCH OF TIME H 1.09.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 4 | 6.3 | N |
| 2 | 5 | BLAZING WIND TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 1 | 5.4 | N |
| 3 | 1 | HAROLD WIN B/XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 12 | 5.3 | N |
| 4 | 8 | COLOURFUL WINNER CP1 M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 11 | 60.0 | N |
| 5 | 9 | DRAGON JOY SR1 B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 13 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 10 | 9.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MONARCH COUNTY TT1 H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | CIRCUIT VICTORY K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | KING OBERON L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 3 | MOTOMAN B/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 7 | 75.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | COURIER ALADDIN CP/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 14 | 3.4 | 5 |
| 12 | 14 | SILVER DESTINY B/TT2 Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 8 | 51.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | LIFE OF STONE CP1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 106.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | DECRELOT CP1 H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 6 | 59.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COURIER ALADDIN | 27.7% | 3.61 | 11 |
| 2 | 7 | MONARCH COUNTY | 11.9% | 8.37 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS | 11.3% | 8.85 | 6 |
| 4 | 13 | PATCH OF TIME | 9.3% | 10.72 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | HAROLD WIN | 9.0% | 11.15 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | BLAZING WIND | 6.8% | 14.78 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | KING OBERON | 6.5% | 15.48 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | DECRELOT | 3.6% | 27.62 | 14 |
| 9 | 8 | COLOURFUL WINNER | 3.6% | 27.79 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 3.0% | 33.62 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | DRAGON JOY | 2.9% | 34.39 | 5 |
| 12 | 14 | SILVER DESTINY | 1.9% | 51.41 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | MOTOMAN | 1.6% | 62.10 | 10 |
| 14 | 11 | LIFE OF STONE | 0.9% | 112.85 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 63
PLACE
1 20.5
5 18
13 22
QUINELLA
5,13 164.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 66.5
1,13 63.5
5,13 58
FORECAST
13,5 354
TIERCE
13,5,1 2,315
TRIO
1,5,13 363
FIRST 4
1,5,8,13 3,645
QUARTET
13,5,1,8 56,137
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,10/1,5,13 14,795
5TH DOUBLE
10/5 20.5
10/13 260.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,13/4,6,10/1,5,13 7,998,616
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,13/4,6,10/Any Combination 32,176