Sha Tin · 2024-10-20 · 10:00
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-20 was Class 3 over 1400m. GREEN N WHITE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-3/4, with SKY TRUST second and PRESTIGE ALWAYS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite SKY TRUST finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GREEN N WHITE Closed strongly TT- 1.21.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 8 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | SKY TRUST Closed strongly H/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 2 | 2.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS B Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 12 | 6.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | HUGE WAVE Closed strongly TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 7 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | LESLIE Closed strongly B K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 13 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | KING MILES Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 7.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON Closed strongly P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 10 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 3 | 59.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 1 | 37.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 48.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPER GOLDI TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 14 | 55.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | NOT USUAL STAR Led early H/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 6 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 14 | MOJAVE DESERT B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 57.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 10 | TIMES TABLE M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 4 | 36.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SKY TRUST | 36.0% | 2.78 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS | 12.8% | 7.80 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | KING MILES | 10.3% | 9.74 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | GREEN N WHITE | 7.8% | 12.75 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | NOT USUAL STAR | 7.1% | 14.07 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 6.0% | 16.63 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | LESLIE | 4.9% | 20.22 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | HUGE WAVE | 3.9% | 25.40 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER GOLDI | 3.3% | 30.13 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON | 2.5% | 39.23 | 7 |
| 11 | 13 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 2.0% | 50.70 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | BEAUTY GLORY | 1.9% | 53.20 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | MOJAVE DESERT | 1.3% | 75.02 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 48.5
PLACE
1 18.5
2 22
11 13.5
QUINELLA
1,11 62.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 61.5
1,11 29
2,11 42
FORECAST
1,11 162
TIERCE
1,11,2 765
TRIO
1,2,11 160
FIRST 4
1,2,3,11 383
QUARTET
1,11,2,3 8,075
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
2,3/13/1 2,501
2,3/13/11 345
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,13/1,2,11 433,206
9TH DOUBLE
13/1 1,617
13/11 142
SIX UP
4,10/5,13/2,11/2,3,12/8,9,13/1,11 2,719
10/13/2/2,3/13/1 101,791
1 [Z Purton] —
1 [D A Hayes] —