Sha Tin · 2024-10-20 · 15:11
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KARMA Closed strongly TT 1.33.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 2 | 31.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly XB H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 12 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | C P BRAVE Closed strongly V H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 5 | 78.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | STUNNING PEACH Closed strongly TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 11 | 5.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | SUPREME LUCKY TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | MONEY CATCHER B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 71.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | STAR CONTACT B/TT P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 50.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 3 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | TOP GUN M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 9.1 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | FLAMING RABBIT Led early B-/CP2/SR2/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 43.0 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-20 was Class 2 over 1600m. KARMA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/2, with HELENE FEELING second and PATCH OF THETA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite PATCH OF THETA finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PATCH OF THETA | 27.2% | 3.68 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | KARMA | 14.8% | 6.78 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | STUNNING PEACH | 13.7% | 7.29 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | STAR CONTACT | 10.0% | 10.02 | 8 |
| 5 | 11 | TOP GUN | 8.3% | 12.03 | 11 |
| 6 | 1 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 8.0% | 12.54 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPREME LUCKY | 3.7% | 27.31 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | C P BRAVE | 3.1% | 32.05 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | HELENE FEELING | 3.1% | 32.06 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | FLAMING RABBIT | 2.9% | 34.41 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | THE BEST PEACH | 2.7% | 36.54 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | MONEY CATCHER | 2.5% | 39.31 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 37.5
PLACE
4 59
6 15
10 12.5
QUINELLA
4,10 561.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 139
4,10 167.5
6,10 24
FORECAST
10,4 903
TIERCE
10,4,6 3,918
TRIO
4,6,10 404
FIRST 4
3,4,6,10 3,218
QUARTET
10,4,6,3 72,720
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
2/2/4 4,031
2/2/10 3,926
4TH DOUBLE
2/4 646.5
2/10 955