Sha Tin · 2024-10-20 · 17:23
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly B-/TT- 1.34.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 2 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | FALLON Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 45.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | STAR MAC Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 7 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | TURIN STARSPANGLED TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 11 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | ILLUMINOUS Closed strongly V H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 9 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | FUN TOGETHER Led early CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 40.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | SUNSTRIDER Closed strongly CP-/B1 A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | PRAY FOR MIR CP M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 6.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | WINNING GOLD H/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 1 | 3.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | SECOND TO NONE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 13 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 3 | FORTUNATE SON B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 6 | 7.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | SO WE SING CP1/TT1 B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 4 | 104.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | SWEET ENCOUNTER A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 14 | 81.0 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-20 was Class 3 over 1600m. BRAVEHEARTS, ridden by M F Poon and trained by M Newnham, won by 1, with FALLON second and STAR MAC third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite WINNING GOLD finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WINNING GOLD | 33.0% | 3.03 | 9 |
| 2 | 3 | FORTUNATE SON | 10.3% | 9.72 | 12 |
| 3 | 5 | TURIN STARSPANGLED | 8.6% | 11.59 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | ILLUMINOUS | 8.3% | 12.07 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | SECOND TO NONE | 5.9% | 16.93 | 10 |
| 6 | 7 | PRAY FOR MIR | 5.6% | 17.77 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | STAR MAC | 5.0% | 20.00 | 2 |
| 8 | 13 | BRAVEHEARTS | 4.5% | 22.38 | 1 |
| 9 | 10 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 4.3% | 23.50 | 11 |
| 10 | 14 | SUNSTRIDER | 3.7% | 26.76 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | FUN TOGETHER | 3.1% | 32.35 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | FALLON | 3.0% | 33.38 | 2 |
| 13 | 2 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 2.9% | 34.51 | 14 |
| 14 | 1 | SO WE SING | 1.8% | 56.06 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 138.5
PLACE
8 110
9 36.5
13 40
QUINELLA
8,13 1,311
9,13 436
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 622.5
8,13 731.5
9,13 250.5
FORECAST
13,8 2,438
13,9 913
TIERCE
13,8,9 29,368
13,9,8 25,733
TRIO
8,9,13 12,049
FIRST 4
5,8,9,13 26,914
QUARTET
13,8,9,5 456,930
13,9,8,5 427,764
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
2,3/8 36.5
2,3/9 21
2,3/13 550