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Sha Tin · 2024-10-20 · 13:48

Race 3

Class 4 1400m Course B+2 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 MASTER MASTERMIND Closed strongly CP/TT 1.21.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes 12 3.2 1-1/4
2 14 FIGHT TIME Closed strongly B/TT- A Badel · D J Hall 7 23.0 1-1/4
3 1 BALLISTIC WIN Closed strongly H Bowman · T P Yung 3 3.0 2-1/2
4 8 JUMBO FORTUNE TT K Teetan · D Eustace 9 6.2 3-3/4
5 10 POCHETTINO H/TT B Avdulla · J Size 8 75.0 4
6 7 PEARL OF PANG'S M Chadwick · K L Man 10 44.0 5
7 12 YEE CHEONG RAIDER Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards 11 8.8 5
8 5 DURHAM STAR SR-/XB/B2 L Hewitson · D J Whyte 2 64.0 6
9 3 HANDSOME BOMB Led early CP1/TT A Atzeni · W Y So 1 10.0 6
10 4 MIGHTY STRENGTH Closed strongly XB A Hamelin · P F Yiu 13 15.0 8
11 9 EN PERFECTO CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 4 69.0 9-1/2
12 11 FOXHUNTER KING CP/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui 6 42.0 59
13 13 SUPER TAICHI TT H Bentley · C Fownes 14 138.0 113-3/4
— 6 PATCH OF LUCKY L Ferraris · K H Ting — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-20 was Class 4 over 1400m. MASTER MASTERMIND, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/4, with FIGHT TIME second and BALLISTIC WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite BALLISTIC WIN finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MASTER MASTERMIND—2. FIGHT TIME+1.25L3. BALLISTIC WIN+2.5L4. JUMBO FORTUNE+3.75L5. POCHETTINO+4L6. PEARL OF PANG'S+5L7. YEE CHEONG RAIDER+5L8. DURHAM STAR+6L9. HANDSOME BOMB+6L10. MIGHTY STRENGTH+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MASTER MASTERMIND (26.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 MASTER MASTERMIND 26.7% 3.74 1
2 1 BALLISTIC WIN 24.8% 4.03 3
3 4 MIGHTY STRENGTH 8.6% 11.63 10
4 8 JUMBO FORTUNE 6.7% 14.86 4
5 5 DURHAM STAR 6.2% 16.21 8
6 3 HANDSOME BOMB 6.0% 16.64 9
7 12 YEE CHEONG RAIDER 5.4% 18.60 7
8 7 PEARL OF PANG'S 4.6% 21.72 6
9 14 FIGHT TIME 3.0% 33.12 2
10 11 FOXHUNTER KING 2.5% 40.19 12
11 10 POCHETTINO 2.3% 42.84 5
12 9 EN PERFECTO 2.3% 44.31 11
13 13 SUPER TAICHI 0.8% 119.68 13
MASTER MASTERMIND — wonBALLISTIC WINMIGHTY STRENGTHJUMBO FORTUNEDURHAM STARHANDSOME BOMBYEE CHEONG RAIDERPEARL OF PANG'SFIGHT TIMEFOXHUNTER KINGPOCHETTINOEN PERFECTOSUPER TAICHI

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 32.5

PLACE

1 14.5

2 14.5

14 52

QUINELLA

2,14 356.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 24.5

1,14 101.5

2,14 113

FORECAST

2,14 505

TIERCE

2,14,1 2,374

TRIO

1,2,14 305

FIRST 4

1,2,8,14 467

QUARTET

2,14,1,8 14,084

All pools (1 more)

2ND DOUBLE

14/2 1,342

14/14 1,212.5