Sha Tin · 2024-10-20 · 05:50
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-20 was Class 4 over 1400m. MASTER MASTERMIND, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/4, with FIGHT TIME second and BALLISTIC WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite BALLISTIC WIN finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MASTER MASTERMIND Closed strongly CP/TT 1.21.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 12 | 3.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 14 | FIGHT TIME Closed strongly B/TT- A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 7 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | BALLISTIC WIN Closed strongly H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 3 | 3.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | JUMBO FORTUNE TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 9 | 6.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | POCHETTINO H/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 75.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | PEARL OF PANG'S M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 10 | 44.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 11 | 8.8 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | DURHAM STAR SR-/XB/B2 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 64.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | HANDSOME BOMB Led early CP1/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 1 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | MIGHTY STRENGTH Closed strongly XB A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 13 | 15.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | EN PERFECTO CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 69.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | FOXHUNTER KING CP/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 6 | 42.0 | 59 |
| 13 | 13 | SUPER TAICHI TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 14 | 138.0 | 113-3/4 |
| — | 6 | PATCH OF LUCKY L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MASTER MASTERMIND | 26.7% | 3.74 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | BALLISTIC WIN | 24.8% | 4.03 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 8.6% | 11.63 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 6.7% | 14.86 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | DURHAM STAR | 6.2% | 16.21 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | HANDSOME BOMB | 6.0% | 16.64 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER | 5.4% | 18.60 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 4.6% | 21.72 | 6 |
| 9 | 14 | FIGHT TIME | 3.0% | 33.12 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | FOXHUNTER KING | 2.5% | 40.19 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | POCHETTINO | 2.3% | 42.84 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | EN PERFECTO | 2.3% | 44.31 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | SUPER TAICHI | 0.8% | 119.68 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 32.5
PLACE
1 14.5
2 14.5
14 52
QUINELLA
2,14 356.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 24.5
1,14 101.5
2,14 113
FORECAST
2,14 505
TIERCE
2,14,1 2,374
TRIO
1,2,14 305
FIRST 4
1,2,8,14 467
QUARTET
2,14,1,8 14,084
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
14/2 1,342
14/14 1,212.5