Sha Tin · 2024-10-20 · 12:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | YOUTH POWER Closed strongly B/TT 1.34.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 5.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly P/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 7 | 4.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly P/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 3 | 6.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | RED MAVERICK Closed strongly Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 37.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | NOT A FEW Closed strongly TT H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 10 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | MISTER FOX Closed strongly CP- A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 53.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | MERCHANT PRINCE V-/B2/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 13 | 61.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | NOBLE WIN Closed strongly B/XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 2 | 5.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | PRECISION GOAL Led early CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 6.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | BEAU GOSSE B-/XB/H2 C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 4 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | E TALENT B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 6 | 91.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | HARRY'S HERO H M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 12 | 19.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | LADY BILLIE H K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 9 | 80.0 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-20 was Class 5 over 1600m. YOUTH POWER, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by D A Hayes, won by 2-1/2, with CASA LEGEND second and PAKISTAN FRIEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite CASA LEGEND finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | YOUTH POWER | 23.2% | 4.31 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | NOBLE WIN | 12.2% | 8.23 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 12.1% | 8.25 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | PRECISION GOAL | 9.4% | 10.69 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | BEAU GOSSE | 9.1% | 11.00 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | CASA LEGEND | 8.8% | 11.38 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | NOT A FEW | 7.2% | 13.86 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | HARRY'S HERO | 6.2% | 16.18 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | MERCHANT PRINCE | 3.1% | 31.83 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | RED MAVERICK | 3.1% | 32.40 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | E TALENT | 2.2% | 46.33 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | MISTER FOX | 1.9% | 53.22 | 6 |
| 13 | 11 | LADY BILLIE | 1.6% | 61.38 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 52
PLACE
3 14.5
5 26.5
8 19
QUINELLA
3,8 129.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 65
3,8 48
5,8 69.5
FORECAST
8,3 291
TIERCE
8,3,5 1,525
TRIO
3,5,8 217
FIRST 4
3,5,8,13 1,707
QUARTET
8,3,5,13 35,010