沙田 · 2024-12-01 · 06:35
第 4場
2024-12-01沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米。由A Badel策騎、D J Hall訓練的ACA POWER勝出，贏出1/2。NEBRASKAN獲得亞軍；SUNNY DARLING獲得季軍。4.3倍大熱門SUNNY DARLING跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ACA POWER CP 1.09.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 8.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | NEBRASKAN PC J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 9 | 8.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | SUNNY DARLING B/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 3 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 12 | 5.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | HINOKAMI KAGURA PC-/B2/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 1 | 9.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | REGENT GLORY B B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 8 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | SKY DEEP B1/XB1 A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 10 | 53.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | ACE POWER B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | MY FLYING ANGEL B A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 4 | 7.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | KA YING WARRIOR CP1/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | MARK THE MOMENT V/TT P N Wong · Y S Tsui | P N Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 9.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | ONE FOR ALL B/XB/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 28.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 16.4% | 6.09 | 9 |
| 2 | 11 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 15.4% | 6.49 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 11.5% | 8.69 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | KA YING WARRIOR | 10.4% | 9.61 | 10 |
| 5 | 5 | NEBRASKAN | 10.4% | 9.62 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | MARK THE MOMENT | 9.6% | 10.44 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | SUNNY DARLING | 8.4% | 11.86 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | ACE POWER | 5.7% | 17.55 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | ACA POWER | 4.7% | 21.27 | 1 |
| 10 | 1 | ONE FOR ALL | 4.5% | 21.99 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | REGENT GLORY | 2.1% | 48.50 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | SKY DEEP | 0.8% | 118.61 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 84.5
PLACE
4 17.5
5 32.5
12 26
QUINELLA
5,12 454
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 89.5
4,12 77.5
5,12 115.5
FORECAST
12,5 800
TIERCE
12,5,4 4,270
TRIO
4,5,12 586
FIRST 4
3,4,5,12 678
QUARTET
12,5,4,3 18,916
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,11/4,5,12 40,045
3RD DOUBLE
5/5 65
5/12 614